polifrog
--I had first referred to the voter turnout models by Gallup as possibly flaky. No longer.
--I then referred to them as less flaky the second week. No longer.
--A trend has been born with week three...Advantage Republican:
Under the high voter turnout:
Week (3): 42 / 53
Week (2): 41 / 53
Week (1): 40 / 53
Under the low voter turnout:
Week (3): 39 / 56
Week (2): 39 / 56
Week (1): 38 / 56
I repeat:
These new numbers are essentially unchanged and stunning. The 1994 election that brought Gingrich to power had an advantage of only around 5. These numbers indicate an advantage triple that.
This does not bode well for Rep. Brad Miller, Bob Etheridge, David Price, Larry Kissell, GK Butterfield or any other Democrat, but then, it should be no surprise that governance through the tyranny of the majority yields such results.
Truly stunning.
out
Monday, October 18, 2010
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