We all like flakes now and then -- mostly when their flakiness swings toward something agreeable. Currently Gallup has swung toward agreeable, that is not to say they came up with an accurate poll, but that's they way of flakes.
Via Michael Barone:
Gallup also shows the results for two different turnout models. Under its “high turnout model” Republicans lead 53%-40%. Under its “low turnout model” Republicans lead 56%-38%.
The Gallup high turnout and low turnout numbers suggest it looks like 1894, when Republicans gained more than 100 seats in a House of approximately 350 seats.
These numbers are astonishing and but they do not stand alone. They have the company of Dick Morris. Dick Morris has been calling for the possibility of a 100 seat shift in congress for over a week now.
Some polling info via Dick Morris on Hannity:
- Number of districts a republican is leading the incumbent in the polls -- 54
- Number of districts with a republican within 5 points of a democrat polling under 50 -- 19
- 160 districts represented by democrats that have gone unpolled.
Brad Miller is one of those 160 that have gone unpolled.