Those Possibly Flaky Gallup Poll Turnout Numbers Not So Flaky Anymore...

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I had first referred to last week's voter turnout models by Gallup as possibly flaky. No longer.

Gallup has produced two likely voter turnout models, high and a low. In both cases the estimated turnout has Republicans out pacing Democrats by double digits.

Under the high voter turnout:
Last week: 40 / 53
This week: 41 / 53

Under the low voter turnout:
Last week: 38 / 56
This week: 39 / 56

These new numbers are essentially unchanged and stunning. The 1994 election that brought Gingrich to power had only an advantage of only around 5. These numbers indicate an advantage triple that.

This does not bode well for Rep. Brad Miller, Bob Etheridge, David Price, Larry Kissell, GK Butterfield or any other Democrat, but then, it should be no surprise that governance through the tyranny of the majority yields such results.

Truly stunning.



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