Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball:
In NC-8, Democrat Larry Kissell has repeated his tradition of poor fundraising but the DCCC likely does not have the money or patience to bail him out to the degree they did in 2008. In addition, that victory relied heavily on Obama voters who flocked to the polls in this 28% African-American district. That also will not be repeated, likely consigning Kissell to defeat by former sportscaster Harold Johnson.
Kissell won NC-8 with 53% of the vote in 2006.
In 2008 Kissell Beat Hayes, 55% to 45%.